Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.