National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
2 - 1
Darlington

Peers (49', 49'), Woods (64', 64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McGowan (13', 13')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Chester
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League North

Darlington

All competitions
Last Game: Darlington 4-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 15.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawDarlington
60.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)23.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)15.87%
Both teams to score 43.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)76.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)82.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 60.82%
    Darlington 15.87%
    Draw 23.3%
Chester FCDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 14.46%
2-0 @ 12.52%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.43%
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 60.82%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 2.36%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.87%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Darlington
1-0
Chester
Main (50')
Hatfield (27'), bin Mohamed Ali Al Shabeb (75'), Salkeld (90+2')

Hugill (33'), Burke (90+3')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Chester
0-0
Darlington
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Darlington
3-2
Chester
Taylor (17' og.), Salkeld (39'), Ngandu (42')
Peers (57'), Glendon (70')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Darlington
1-2
Chester
Lawlor (90+2')
Weeks (40'), Whitehouse (64')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Chester
0-1
Darlington
Felix (62')
rhs 2.0


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