Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 85.95%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 3.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.71%) and 1-0 (11.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.