International Friendlies
Sep 27, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Soldier Field
  • Hirving Lozano 43' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sánchez 59' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Mora 62' goal
  • goal Luis Suárez 9'
  • yellowcard Luis Suárez 23'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Angulo 37'

Mexico vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 5, 2026 3.00am
Mexico 5 - 1 Serbia

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 8, 2026 12.00am
Colombia 2 - 0 Jordan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 30.25%
Draw 25.95%
Colombia 43.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

52%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.08%
Under 1.5 26.92%
Over 2.5 48.1%
Under 2.5 51.9%
Over 3.5 26.55%
Under 3.5 73.45%
Over 4.5 14.44%
Under 4.5 85.56%

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 30.11%
Under 1.5 69.89%
Over 2.5 10.46%
Under 2.5 89.54%
Over 3.5 2.93%
Under 3.5 97.07%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 73.95%
Under 0.5 26.05%
Over 1.5 41.27%
Under 1.5 58.73%
Over 2.5 17.77%
Under 2.5 82.23%
Over 3.5 6.24%
Under 3.5 93.76%

Score analysis

Mexico 30.24%
Draw 25.95%
Colombia 43.86%
Mexico
1-0 @ 8.75%
2-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.07%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
Colombia
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 6.13%
Total : 43.86%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2025 2.00am
International Friendlies
Dec 17, 2023 12.00am
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Omar Govea 40' goal
  • Omar Govea 40' goal
  • Guillermo Martinez 50' goal
  • Guillermo Martinez 50' goal
  • Bryan Gonzalez 90' yellowcard
  • Bryan Gonzalez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Andres Reyes 55'
  • goal Andres Reyes 55'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 61'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 61'
  • goal Roger Martinez 69'
  • goal Roger Martinez 69'
  • goal Andres Gomez 90'+2'
  • goal Andres Gomez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Roger Martinez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Roger Martinez 90'+4'
International Friendlies
Sep 28, 2022 3.00am
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Alexis Vega 6' goal
  • Gerardo Arteaga 29' goal
  • goal Luis Sinisterra 49'
  • goal Luis Sinisterra 52'
  • goal Wilmar Barrios 68'
International Friendlies
May 29, 2020 11.00pm