Champions League Gameweek 3
Man City
Oct 20, 2026 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
AEK Athens
  • Elliot Anderson 12' goal
  • Phil Foden 34' goal
  • Rayan Cherki 57' goal
  • Josko Gvardiol 59' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 65' goal
  • Phil Foden 76' goal
  • goal Stavros Pilios 52'

Manchester City vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 2 Man City

AEK Athens

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
AEK Athens 1 - 0 LASK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.87% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%) , while for a AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (5.22%).

Result

Manchester City 54.83% ▲ (+3.11)
Draw 22.87% ▼ (-0.99)
AEK Athens 22.28% ▼ (-2.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.99% ▼ (-2.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.13% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 23.87% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 52.46% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 47.54% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 32.28% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 3.5 67.72% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 4.5 20.61% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 4.5 79.39% ▼ (-1.43)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 37.26% ▲ (+1.24)
Draw 36.72% ▼ (-1.13)
AEK Athens 26.02% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Manchester City 52.24% ▲ (+0.74)
No Goal 6.92% ▲ (+0.09)
AEK Athens 40.84% ▼ (-0.82)

Corners

Over 8 53.12% ▼ (-4.46)
Equal 8 10.47% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 8 36.42% ▲ (+4.77)
Over 9 42.77% ▼ (-3.85)
Equal 9 10.34% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 9 46.88% ▲ (+4.46)
Over 10.5 33.3% ▼ (-3.04)
Under 10.5 66.7% ▲ (+3.04)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 51.07% ▲ (+1.93)
Under 1.5 48.93% ▼ (-1.93)
Over 2.5 26.38% ▲ (+2.21)
Under 2.5 73.62% ▼ (-2.21)
Over 3.5 10.9% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 3.5 89.1% ▼ (-1.11)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 54.31% ▼ (-3.04)
Under 0.5 45.69% ▲ (+3.04)
Over 1.5 26.11% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 1.5 73.89% ▲ (+1.49)
Over 2.5 10.03% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 89.97% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 3.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.44% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Manchester City 54.84%
Draw 22.87%
AEK Athens 22.27%
Manchester City
1-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.54)
2-0 @ 10.26% ▲ (+0.67)
2-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.35)
3-0 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.64)
3-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.41)
Other @ 10.68% ▲ (+1.09)
Total : 54.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.53)
0-0 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.49)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.87%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.82)
1-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.68)
0-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.20)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.41)
Other @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 22.27%

Form Data

Man City 3 - 2 Ipswich
Man City 2 - 4 PSG
Liverpool 0 - 3 Man City
Man City 5 - 3 Sunderland
Man City 5 - 0 Norwich
Man Utd 0 - 1 Man City
Atromitos 0 - 0 AEK Athens
Shakhtar 3 - 1 AEK Athens
AEK Athens 3 - 0 OFI Crete
Volos 1 - 2 AEK Athens
Asteras 1 - 1 AEK Athens
AEK Athens 1 - 0 LASK

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