Greek Superleague Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
OPAP Arena

AEK Athens vs Aris Thessaloniki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.00pm
Kifisia 1 - 1 AEK Athens
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Barnabás Varga

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 5.30pm
Aris 2 - 1 OFI Crete
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Fabiano  

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEK Athens win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw has a probability of 24.89% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki has a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.13%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.54%) , while for a Aris Thessaloniki win it is 0-1 (5.92%).

Result

AEK Athens 54.35% (+0.17)
Draw 24.89% (-0.34)
Aris Thessaloniki 20.79% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.33% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.25% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 23.75% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 52.5% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 47.5% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 30.42% (+0.82)
Under 3.5 69.58% (-0.82)
Over 4.5 17.81% (+0.68)
Under 4.5 82.19% (-0.69)

First Half Winner

AEK Athens 37.89% (-0.09)
Draw 45.54% (+0.83)
Aris Thessaloniki 16.57% (-0.74)

Team To Score First

AEK Athens 61.7% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.75% (-0.16)
Aris Thessaloniki 31.55% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 43.23% (+1.71)
Equal 8 12.04% (+0.79)
Under 8 44.73% (-2.52)
Over 9 32.29% (+0.88)
Equal 9 10.94% (+0.84)
Under 9 56.77% (-1.71)
Over 10.5 23.13% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 76.87% (-0.12)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 1.5 51.54% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 48.46% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 25.13% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 74.87% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 10.24% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 89.76% (-0.43)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5 57.38% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 42.62% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 24.41% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 75.59% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 7.82% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 92.18% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 1.97% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.03% (-0.05)

Score analysis

AEK Athens 54.36%
Draw 24.88%
Aris Thessaloniki 20.79%
AEK Athens
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 10.13% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (+0.08)
Other @ 10.06% (+0.46)
Total : 54.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.03)
Total : 24.88%
Aris Thessaloniki
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.95% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.79% (+0.09)
Total : 20.79%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis
  • Fredrik Jensen 11' goal
  • Konstantinos Galanopoulos 80' yellowcard
  • goal Aboubakary Koita 8'
  • yellowcard Petros Mantalos 61'
  • yellowcard Niclas Eliasson 66'
  • yellowcard Barnabas Varga 66'
  • yellowcard Dereck Kutesa 84'
Greek Superleague
Nov 23, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Greek Superleague Gameweek 26
Mar 9, 2025 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis
  • Hugo Mallo 49' yellowcard
  • Monchu 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erik Lamela 45'+2'
  • redcard Gerasimos Mitoglou 58'
  • yellowcard Damian Szymanski 62'
  • yellowcard Robert Ljubicic 84'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 6.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT OPAP Arena
  • Harold Moukoudi 17' goal
  • Levi Garcia 19' yellowcard
  • Anthony Martial 45' goal
  • Levi Garcia 58' goal
  • Aboubakary Koita 80' yellowcard
  • Frantzdy Pierrot 89' goal
  • yellowcard Fran Velez 15'
  • yellowcard Martin Frydek Jr 33'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mallo 77'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 6
Apr 21, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis
  • Valentino Fattore 6' yellowcard
  • Birger Verstraete 25' yellowcard
  • Loren Moron 36' goal
  • Martin Montoya 40' yellowcard
  • Lindsay Rose 51' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Zamora 67' yellowcard
  • Karim Ansarifard 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Szymanski 35'
  • goal Djibril Sidibe 49'
  • yellowcard Nordin Amrabat 75'
  • goal Nordin Amrabat 84'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 5
Apr 14, 2024 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
  • Ezequiel Ponce 9' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 14' goal
  • Alexander Callens 34' yellowcard
  • Mijat Gacinovic 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 6'
  • yellowcard Kike Saverio 20'
  • yellowcard Jakub Brabec 49'
  • yellowcard Valentino Fattore 73'
  • yellowcard Moses Odubajo 86'