Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.17% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.