Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (9.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.