Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.19% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%) , while for a Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.