Greek Superleague Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2026 6.00pm
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessaloniki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
OFI Crete 0 - 2 Panathinaikos
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Anastasios Bakasetas

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 5.00pm
Aris 1 - 1 Kifisia
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Loren Moron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw has a probability of 27.16% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki has a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Aris Thessaloniki win it is 0-1 (8.2%).

Result

Panathinaikos 51.36% (+0.27)
Draw 27.16% (-0.17)
Aris Thessaloniki 21.48% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.23% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.94% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 33.06% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 40.63% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 59.37% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 19.82% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 80.18% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 10.02% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 89.98% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Panathinaikos 37.55%
Draw 43.82%
Aris Thessaloniki 18.62%

Team To Score First

Panathinaikos 57.93% (+0.14)
No Goal 10.08% (-0.21)
Aris Thessaloniki 31.99% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 51.45% (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.55% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.99% (+0.08)
Over 9 39.27% (-0.05)
Equal 9 12.18% (-0.02)
Under 9 48.55% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 28.47% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 71.53% (+0.05)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 1.5 42.2% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 57.8% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 17.29% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 82.71% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.54% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 94.46% (-0.15)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5 54.22% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 45.78% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 19.85% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 80.15% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 4.99% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 95.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.99% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.01% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Panathinaikos 51.36%
Draw 27.16%
Aris Thessaloniki 21.48%
Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 14.78% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 10.36% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.03% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.97% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.53% (+0.15)
Total : 51.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 10.08% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 4.08% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.16%
Aris Thessaloniki
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.98% (+0.02)
Total : 21.48%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague
Oct 19, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Greek Superleague Gameweek 22
Feb 9, 2025 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis
  • Vladimir Darida 19' yellowcard
  • Kike Saverio 43' goal
  • Loren Moron 50' goal
  • Martin Montoya 51' yellowcard
  • Dario Spikic 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nemanja Maksimovic 48'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
  • Tete 33' goal
  • Filip Mladenovic 51' yellowcard
  • Willian Arao 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Mallo 28'
  • yellowcard Fran Velez 50'
  • goal Loren Moron 72'
  • yellowcard Jakub Brabec 79'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 8
Apr 28, 2024 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
  • Willian Arao 63' yellowcard
  • Filip Mladenovic 77' yellowcard
  • Filip Duricic 88' yellowcard
  • Anastasios Bakasetas 89' yellowcard
  • Julian Cuesta 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Zamora 2'
  • yellowcard Jean Jules 47'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Leismann 52'
  • yellowcard Jakub Brabec 57'
  • yellowcard Cheick Doukoure 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel Mancini 73'
  • yellowcard Martin Montoya 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Martin Montoya 90'+6'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 4
Apr 7, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis
  • Loren Moron 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Moses Odubajo 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 21'
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 38'
  • yellowcard Adam Gnezda Cerin 59'
  • goal Andraz Sporar 62'
  • goal Jakub Brabec 90'+2' (OG)
Greek Superleague Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
  • Anastasios Bakasetas 3' goal
  • Filip Mladenovic 24' yellowcard
  • Fotis Ioannidis 52' goal
  • Willian Arao 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moses Odubajo 55'