Greek Superleague Gameweek 25
Larissa
Mar 14, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
Asteras
  • Ángelo Sagal 55' yellowcard
  • Goni Naor 70' yellowcard
  • Giannis Pasas 70' yellowcard
  • Facundo Pérez 82' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Apostolakis 87' yellowcard
  • Savvas Mourgos 87' yellowcard
  • goal Julián Bartolo 40'
  • yellowcard Ketu Jih Kalvin 66'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Laskaris 71'
  • yellowcard Federico Macheda 86'
  • yellowcard Theofanis Tzandaris 86'
  • yellowcard Theofanis Tzandaris 88'

AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEL Larissa

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 4.00pm
AEK Athens 1 - 0 Larissa
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ángelo Sagal

Asteras Tripolis

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
Asteras 0 - 1 Panserraikos
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Julián Bartolo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEL Larissa win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.51% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEL Larissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%) , while for a Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

AEL Larissa 46.84%
Draw 27.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Asteras Tripolis 25.65% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 41.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.12% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

AEL Larissa 34%
Draw 43.68%
Asteras Tripolis 22.32%

Team To Score First

AEL Larissa 52.16% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 9.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Asteras Tripolis 38.13% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.11%
Equal 8 12.32%
Under 8 39.57%
Over 9 36.47%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 51.89%
Over 10.5 26.38%
Under 10.5 73.62%

AEL Larissa Goals

Over 1.5 39.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.01%
Under 2.5 83.99%
Over 3.5 5.22%
Under 3.5 94.78%

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5 58.52%
Under 0.5 41.48%
Over 1.5 23.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

AEL Larissa 46.85%
Draw 27.51%
Asteras Tripolis 25.66%
AEL Larissa
1-0 @ 13.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 46.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.51%
Asteras Tripolis
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 25.66%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague
Asteras
Sep 14, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Larissa
Greek Superleague Gameweek 18
Asteras
Jan 23, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Larissa
  • Jeronimo Barrales 60' goal
  • Giannis Kotsiras 69' yellowcard
  • Jeronimo Barrales 73' yellowcard
  • Dani Suarez 79' yellowcard
  • Antonis Tsiftsis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexios Michail 47'
  • yellowcard Fiorin Durmishaj 65'
  • yellowcard Theocharis Iliadis 69'
  • yellowcard Nikola Zizic 80'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 5
Larissa
Oct 18, 2020 4.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
Asteras
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 36' yellowcard
  • Adnan Secerovic 51' yellowcard
  • Alexandros Nikolias 79' yellowcard
  • Mateo Muzek 89' goal
  • Nikola Trujic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 42'
  • yellowcard Sito 52'
  • yellowcard Dani Suarez 68'
  • yellowcard Luis Fernandez 73'
  • yellowcard Christos Tasoulis 74'
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 75'
  • yellowcard Borja Fernandez 90'+1'
  • goal Luis Fernandez 90'+4'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 1
Larissa
Jun 7, 2020 5.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT AEL Arena
Asteras
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 42' goal
  • Theocharis Iliadis 63' yellowcard
  • Jean Luc Gbayara 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 45'+4'
  • goal Luis Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Jeronimo Barrales 64'
  • yellowcard Juan Munafo 78'
  • yellowcard Sito 87'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 26
Larissa
Mar 1, 2020 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT AEL FC Arena
Asteras
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 18' goal
  • Gabriel Torje 28' yellowcard
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 36' goal
  • Vangelis Moras 41' yellowcard
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 44' goal
  • Mateo Muzek 65' yellowcard
  • Athanasios Papazoglou 86' yellowcard
  • Manolis Bertos 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Triantafyllos Pasalidis 21'
  • yellowcard Angel Martinez 79'
  • yellowcard Christos Tasoulis 84'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 13
Asteras
Dec 8, 2019 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis (Tripoli)
Larissa
  • Jeronimo Barrales 19' goal
  • Christos Tasoulis 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Radomir Milosavljevic 21'
  • yellowcard Vangelis Moras 29'
  • goal Jean Luc Gbayara 60'
  • yellowcard Jean Luc Gbayara 63'
  • yellowcard Marko Nunic 83'
  • yellowcard Ergys Kace 94'

Form Data

AEK Athens 1 - 0 Larissa
OFI Crete 3 - 0 Larissa
Larissa 1 - 1 PAOK
Panathinaikos 1 - 1 Larissa
Larissa 1 - 4 Panetolikos
Volos 0 - 2 Larissa
Asteras 0 - 1 Panserraikos
PAOK 2 - 0 Asteras
Asteras 1 - 2 Atromitos
Panetolikos 3 - 1 Asteras
Asteras 2 - 0 Volos
Asteras 0 - 3 Olympiacos