Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.