Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.97% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%) , while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood.