Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.62% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%) , while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.