Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for OFI Crete had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest OFI Crete win was 1-0 (9.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.