Greek Superleague
Aug 22, 2026 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
  • Jovanny Bolívar 41' goal
  • Rodrigues 44' yellowcard
  • Petros Kaloutsikidis 44' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Vargas 60' goal
  • Ilias Chatzitheodoridis 79' yellowcard
  • Jovanny Bolívar 85' redcard
  • goal Uros Racic 45'
  • yellowcard Fabiano   45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Petris 83'
  • yellowcard Uros Racic 84'
  • goal Fabiano   88'
  • goal Fabiano   90'+3'

Kalamata vs Aris Thessaloniki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalamata

All competitions
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jovanny Bolívar

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Aris 3 - 0 Levadiakos
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Fabiano  

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalamata win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalamata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Kalamata 38.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 27.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Aris Thessaloniki 33.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.61%
Under 1.5 27.39%
Over 2.5 46.68%
Under 2.5 53.32%
Over 3.5 25.25%
Under 3.5 74.75%
Over 4.5 13.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.5% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Kalamata 26.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 46.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Aris Thessaloniki 27.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Kalamata 44.75% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Aris Thessaloniki 47.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 43.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 45.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 32.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 10.48%
Under 9 56.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 24.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 75.83% ▲ (+0.04)

Kalamata Goals

Over 1.5 36.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.82%
Under 3.5 95.18%

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5 67.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 33% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 67% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Kalamata 38.56%
Draw 27.75%
Aris Thessaloniki 33.71%
Kalamata
1-0 @ 10.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.75%
Aris Thessaloniki
0-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 33.71%