Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 14, 2026 8.00pm
Stamford Bridge

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

AEK Athens

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
AEK Athens 1 - 0 LASK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEK Athens win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-0 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.13%).

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 28.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 25.89% ▲ (+0.18)
AEK Athens 45.37% ▼ (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.23% ▼ (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.87% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 28.13% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 46.7% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 2.5 53.3% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 3.5 25.5% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 74.5% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 4.5 14.75% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 4.5 85.25% ▲ (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 25.38%
Draw 44.28%
AEK Athens 30.34%

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 42.26% ▼ (-0.10)
No Goal 8.34% ▲ (+0.19)
AEK Athens 49.4% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 41.5%
Equal 8 12.21%
Under 8 46.29%
Over 9 30.55%
Equal 9 10.94%
Under 9 58.51%
Over 10.5 21.53%
Under 10.5 78.47%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 28.1% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 71.9% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 9.47% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 90.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 3.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.88% ▲ (+0.09)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 73.26% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 26.74% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 41.44% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 58.56% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 18.23% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 81.77% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 3.5 6.5% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 93.5% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 28.77%
Draw 25.89%
AEK Athens 45.37%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 28.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.89%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 45.37%