Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.