Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lorient |
| 39.75% | 27.87% | 32.38% |
| Both teams to score 47.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% | 58.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% | 78.8% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% | 28.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% | 64.36% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% | 33.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% | 69.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.74% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.37% |