MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 07:05:04| >> :60:189:189:
Stuttgart
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg
Jun 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
TBC
Hamburg logo

Stuttgart
3 - 0
Hamburger SV

Mavropanos (1'), Vagnomann (51'), Guirassy (54')
Karazor (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Reis (15'), Konigsdorffer (73')
Suhonen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoff first-leg clash between Stuttgart and Hamburger SV, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 0-1 Hamburger SV
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Hamburger SV

 A closely-fought contest between two giants of German football, who are both three-time Bundesliga winners, is set to take place on Thursday, although Stuttgart will be regarded as slight favourites. As the two teams look to quickly brush aside the disappointment of failing to meet their desired targets last weekend, we believe that the hosts will come out on top to gain a first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawHamburger SV
36.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.98% (0.0030000000000001 0) 40.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.36% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.87% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)52.09%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.012 -0.01)49.49% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 36.78%
    Hamburger SV 40.25%
    Draw 22.97%
StuttgartDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 40.25%

How you voted: 16th position upper div. vs 3rd position lower div.

16th position upper div.
62.7%
Draw
16.4%
3rd position lower div.
20.9%
67
Head to Head
May 28, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-2
Hamburger SV
Endo (47'), Gonzalez (60' pen.), Castro (90+2')
Badstuber (45'), Forster (80'), Castro (90+3')
Pohjanpalo (16'), Hunt (45+2' pen.)
Vagnomann (78'), Hunt (88')
Oct 29, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Hamburger SV
1-2
Stuttgart
Hunt (16' pen.)
Jatta (51'), Narey (111')
Gonzalez (2' pen.), Al Ghaddioui (113')
Kempf (11'), Karazor (18'), Castro (51'), Mangala (67'), Badstuber (107')
Oct 26, 2019 12pm
gameweek 11
Hamburger SV
6-2
Stuttgart
Kittel (13' pen., 36'), Jatta (24'), Castro (56' og.), Harnik (76'), Fein (91')
Vagnoman (74')
Gonzalez (33'), Wamangituka (63')
Kempf (49'), Forster (66'), Castro (66')
Mar 31, 2018 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Hamburger SV
Ginczek (44')
Aogo (55')
Holtby (18')
Jung (57')
Nov 4, 2017 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
3-1
Stuttgart
Hunt (20'), Kostic (65'), Arp (69')
Santos (46'), Papadopoulos (75')
Ginczek (55' pen.)
Burnic (4')
Burnic (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!