Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Sporting Lisbon
Mar 3, 2025 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Estoril
  • Goncalo Inacio 5' goal
  • Eduardo Manuel Freitas Monteiro Ferreira Felicissimo 33' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 36' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Xeka 50'
  • goal Goncalo Costa 84'
  • redcard Joao Carvalho 90'+4'

Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 6.00pm
AVS 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 8.30pm
Estoril 2 - 1 Rio Ave
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 72.34% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 16.5% ▼ (-0.11)
Estoril Praia 11.16% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.46% ▼ (-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.04% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 35.96% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 41.95% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 58.05% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 23.73% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 76.27% ▲ (+0.17)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 91.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 8.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 70.12% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 29.88% ▼ (-0.08)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 57.45% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 0.5 42.55% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 1.5 21.09% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 78.91% ▲ (+0.47)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 72.34%
Draw 16.5%
Estoril Praia 11.16%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 72.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 16.5%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 11.16%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Estoril
Sep 27, 2024 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon
  • Fabricio Garcia 50' yellowcard
  • Pedro Alvaro 84' yellowcard
  • goal Geny Catamo 24'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 31'
  • goal Daniel Braganca 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Estoril
May 11, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon
  • Fabricio Garcia 76' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Zanocelo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 80'
  • goal Paulinho 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 5, 2024 6.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Estoril
  • Marcus Edwards 21' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 45'+2' goal
  • Pedro Alvaro 51' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 69' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 78' goal
  • Antonio Adan 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 39'
  • goal Cassiano 82'
  • yellowcard Heriberto Tavares 83'
  • yellowcard Eliaquim Mangala 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 27, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Estoril
  • Hector Bellerin 40' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 51' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Estoril
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon
  • Mor Ndiaye 68' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Vital 73' yellowcard
  • Pedro Alvaro 81' yellowcard
  • Tiago Gouveia 84' yellowcard
  • James Lea Siliki 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremiah St Juste 13'
  • goal Marcus Edwards 21'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 57'
  • yellowcard Antonio Adan 66'
  • yellowcard Rochinha 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 86'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 88'
  • yellowcard Issahaku Fatawu 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 20, 2022 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Estoril
  • Pedro Goncalves 40' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 50' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 50' yellowcard
  • Matheus Reis 76' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 81' goal
  • Matheus Reis 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joaozinho 54'
  • redcard Raul Silva 64'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Acevedo 86'

Form Data

Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
AVS 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Dortmund 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 2 Arouca
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 3 Dortmund
Porto 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Estoril 2 - 1 Rio Ave
Nacional 2 - 2 Estoril
Estoril 2 - 1 Boavista
Gil Vicente 1 - 2 Estoril
Estoril 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Santa Clara 2 - 3 Estoril