Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.