Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Evann Guessand 7' goal
  • Mohamed-Ali Cho 51' goal
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darryl Bakola 89'

Nice vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2025 8.05pm
Lille 2 - 1 Nice
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Evann Guessand

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 7.45pm
Marseille 1 - 1 Strasbourg
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Nice 28.55% (-0.04)
Draw 24.43% (-0.24)
Marseille 47.02% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.64% (+0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.23% (+1.02)
Under 2.5 45.77% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 31.91% (+0.96)
Under 3.5 68.09% (-0.96)
Over 4.5 16.01% (+0.68)
Under 4.5 83.99% (-0.68)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5 70.42% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 29.58% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 34.39% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 65.61% (-0.60)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 80.43% (+0.53)
Under 0.5 19.57% (-0.53)
Over 1.5 48.52% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 51.48% (-0.85)

Score analysis

Nice 28.55%
Draw 24.43%
Marseille 47.02%
Nice
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 7.01% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.84% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.43%
Marseille
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.26)
1-2 @ 9.38% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.1% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 4.19% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.11% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 2.08% (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.71% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.27% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 47.02%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Lilian Brassier 19' yellowcard
  • Neal Maupay 40' goal
  • Luis Henrique 53' goal
  • Valentin Rongier 64' yellowcard
  • Derek Cornelius 75' redcard
  • Ali Abdi 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dante 13'
  • yellowcard Franck Haise 55'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 63'
  • yellowcard Jon Rowe 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Faris Moumbagna 22' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Clauss 31' goal
  • Faris Moumbagna 45'+2' redcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 56' goal
  • yellowcard Terem Moffi 11'
  • goal Terem Moffi 13'
  • yellowcard Mohamed-Ali Cho 54'
  • yellowcard Morgan Sanson 61'
  • goal Melvin Bard 72'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Dante 16' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Boga 24' yellowcard
  • Hicham Boudaoui 56' yellowcard
  • Evann Guessand 79' goal
  • Terem Moffi 79' yellowcard
  • Evann Guessand 80' goal
  • goal 25'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 75'
  • redcard Leonardo Balerdi 78'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 60' goal
  • goal Sofiane Diop 38'
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 44'
  • goal Bilal Brahimi 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Alexis Beka Beka 57' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 10'
  • goal Nuno Tavares 37'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 42'
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Arkadiusz Milik 45'+3' goal
  • Duje Caleta-Car 60' yellowcard
  • Cedric Bakambu 89' goal
  • William Saliba 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Melvin Bard 45'
  • goal Mario Lemina 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 90'+2'