Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.