/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
-
Zack Nelson
51'
-
Tahith Chong
55'
-
Tahith Chong
60'
-
Josh Brownhill
6'
-
Wilson Odobert
37'
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James Trafford
43'
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Lucas Pires
59'
-
Josh Cullen
62'
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Dara O'Shea
72'
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Vitinho
80'
Luton Town vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F19%2Frob-edwards.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Luton Town
44.72%
▲
(+0.64)
Draw
24.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Burnley
31.16%
▼
(-0.66)
Both Teams to Score:
59.32%
▼
(-0.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.04%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
42.95%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 3.5
34.64%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 3.5
65.35%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 4.5
18%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 4.5
82%
▲
(+0.28)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
80.6%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
19.4%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
48.79%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
51.21%
▼
(-0.20)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
73.6%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 0.5
26.4%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 1.5
38.44%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 1.5
61.56%
▲
(+0.80)
Score analysis
Luton Town
44.72%
Draw
24.11%
Burnley
31.16%
Luton Town
2-1
@
9.17%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.72%
1-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.72%
Draw
1-1
@
11.18%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.11%
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.11%
Burnley
1-2
@
7.45%
▼
(-0.11)
0-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.16%
0-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.16%
Steve Foster
73'