MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 06:06:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
1 - 0
Rosario

Mancuello (32')
Neves (24'), Martinez (81'), Marcone (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lovera (36'), Broun (81'), Lo Celso (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Independiente
Friday, February 9 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Thursday, February 8 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 43.47%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.35%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawRosario Central
43.47% (0.665 0.66) 30.15% (-0.201 -0.2) 26.38% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 39.28% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.69% (0.384 0.38)67.31% (-0.383 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.53% (0.258 0.26)85.47% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.58 0.58)31% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.673 0.67)67.31% (-0.672 -0.67)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.185 -0.18)43.08% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65% (-0.158 -0.16)79.36% (0.15899999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 43.47%
    Rosario Central 26.37%
    Draw 30.15%
IndependienteDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 15.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 43.47%
0-0 @ 13.35% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.15%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.37%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 1am
Gameweek 5
Rosario
1-1
Independiente
Campaz (76')
Martinez (22'), Campaz (68')
Baez (45')
Martinez (35'), Baez (40'), Aguilar (82')
Apr 13, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 11
Rosario
1-0
Independiente
Campaz (23')
Jul 16, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Independiente
0-0
Rosario
Fernandez (54'), Vigo (54'), Pozzo (57'), Romero (67')
Montoya (16'), Buonanotte (60'), Blanco (75'), Frias (84')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Rosario
3-0
Independiente
Ruben (2'), Velazquez (71'), Montoya (73')
Ferreyra (82')

Barreto (17'), (60'), Romero (82'), Manuel Insaurralde (88'), Ortega (90+4')
Manuel Insaurralde (89')
Aug 15, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Rosario
1-2
Independiente
Russo Cordero (79')
Garay (25'), Torrent (27'), Leonardo Luques (82')

Manuel Insaurralde (37'), Velasco (82')
rhs 2.0
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