Primeira Liga
Gameweek
20
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-
Issiar Drame
10'
-
Rodrigo Pinho
16'
-
Filipe Goncalo Pinto Martins
21'
-
Diogo Martins Travassos
34'
-
Leonel Bucca
76'
-
Diogo Martins Travassos
79'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
6'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
28'
-
Manu Silva
37'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
49'
-
Fredrik Aursnes
90'+6'
Estrela Amadora vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.07%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Estrela Amadora
11.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
18.29%
▼
(-0.08)
Benfica
70.69%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
45.45%
▲
(+0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.14%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 2.5
44.86%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
32.78%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 3.5
67.22%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 4.5
16.64%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 4.5
83.36%
▼
(-0.28)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5
51.31%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 0.5
48.68%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
16.27%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
83.73%
▼
(-0.22)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
88.57%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
11.43%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
63.77%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
36.22%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Estrela Amadora
11.02%
Draw
18.29%
Benfica
70.68%
Estrela Amadora
1-0
@
4.01%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 11.02%
2-1 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 11.02%
Draw
1-1
@
8.69%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.29%
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.29%
Benfica
0-2
@
13.08%
▼
(-0.09)
0-1 @ 12.07% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 70.68%
0-1 @ 12.07% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 70.68%
Head to Head
Taca de Portugal
-
Angel di Maria
2'
-
Angel di Maria
5'
-
Angel di Maria
18'
-
Kerem Akturkoglu
59'
-
Benjamin Rollheiser
74'
-
Zeki Amdouni
81'
-
Arthur Cabral
86'
-
Arthur Cabral
90'
-
Guilherme Montoia
41'
-
Diogo Martins Travassos
63'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
3
-
Orkun Kokcu
19'
-
Orkun Kokcu
34'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
36'
-
Tiago Gouveia
59'
-
Renato Sanches
90'+6'
-
Andre Luiz
36'
-
Caio dos Santos Santana
72'
-
Leo Cordeiro
87'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
19
-
Leo Jaba
28'
-
Regis N'do
45'+2'
-
Regis N'do
71'
-
Angel di Maria
41'
-
Arthur Cabral
44'
-
Rafa Silva
45'+1'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
52'
-
Marcos Leonardo
90'+3'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
2
-
Joao Neves
37'
-
Joao Mario
44'
-
Arthur Cabral
50'
-
Casper Tengstedt
79'
-
Rafa Silva
90'+3'
-
Joneston Omorwa
11'
-
Mansur
55'
-
Hevertton Ciriaco Santos
90'+6'
Taca da Liga
-
Joao Silva
22'
-
Gustavo Rodrigues
90'+5'
-
Petar Musa
13'
-
Chiquinho
29'
-
Julian Draxler
90'