Primeira Liga
Gameweek
25
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-
Pablo Roberto
28'
-
Ricardo Esgaio
45'
-
Duplexe Tchamba
48'
-
Rafael Brito
90'+1'
-
Max Svensson Rio
90'+3'
-
Goncalo Inacio
6'
-
Goncalo Inacio
12'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
34'
-
Morten Hjulmand
56'
-
Ousmane Diomande
62'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
77'
Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.26%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
12.29%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
20.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Sporting Lisbon
67.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
44.07%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.98%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
49.01%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
28.9%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
71.09%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
13.92%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
86.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
50.95%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
49.05%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
16.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
83.99%
▲
(+0.06)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
86.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
13.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
59.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
40.55%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
12.29%
Draw
20.03%
Sporting Lisbon
67.67%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
4.72%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 12.29%
2-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 12.29%
Draw
1-1
@
9.45%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.03%
0-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.03%
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
@
13.27%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 13.26% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 67.67%
0-1 @ 13.26% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 67.67%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
8
-
Daniel Braganca
39'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
80'
-
Daniel Braganca
82'
-
Nermin Zolotic
36'
-
Ruben Kluivert
78'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
19
-
Sebastian Coates
14'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
23'
-
Pedro Goncalves
25'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
32'
-
Morten Hjulmand
38'
-
Francisco Trincao
43'
-
Geny Catamo
64'
-
Sebastian Coates
81'
-
Francisco Trincao
90'+4'
-
Joao Nunes
13'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
2
-
Fernando Varela
55'
-
Beni Mukendi
45'+12'
-
Clayton
58'
-
Neto
90'
-
Andre Geraldes
90'+8'
-
Paulinho
3'
-
Paulinho
61'
-
Goncalo Inacio
72'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
27
-
Rafael Martins
7'
-
Yuki Soma
45'+1'
-
Felippe Cardoso
62'
-
Francisco Trincao
1'
-
Francisco Trincao
39'
-
Pedro Goncalves
48'
-
Francisco Trincao
85'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
10
-
Paulinho
57'
-
Nuno Santos
59'
-
Pedro Goncalves
65'
-
Clayton
43'