Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.