Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Roger Fernandes 10' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 10' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 81' goal
  • redcard Jorge Aguirre de Cespedes 15'
  • redcard Jorge Aguirre de Cespedes 15'

Braga vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2025 6.45pm
Moreirense 1 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 6.00pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 2 Estoril
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Felix Correia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result

Braga 64.22% (+0.27)
Draw 20.68% (-0.04)
Gil Vicente 15.1% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.45% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.18% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 45.82% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 31.86% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 68.14% (+0.31)
Over 4.5 15.98% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 84.02% (+0.22)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 86.45% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.55% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 59.37% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 40.63% (+0.05)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5 57.19% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 42.8% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 20.88% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 79.12% (+0.44)

Score analysis

Braga 64.21%
Draw 20.68%
Gil Vicente 15.1%
Braga
1-0 @ 11.59% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 11.58% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.72% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.86% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 64.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.68%
Gil Vicente
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.1%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Sandro Cruz 42' yellowcard
  • Jordi Mboula 71' yellowcard
  • Kanya Fujimoto 77' yellowcard
  • Andrew 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 45'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Abel Ruiz 39' goal
  • Simon Banza 89' goal
  • goal Ali Alipour 59'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Buta 61'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pereira 66'
  • yellowcard Ali Alipour 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 8.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Roko Baturina 21' goal
  • Ze Carlos 34' yellowcard
  • Ruben Fernandes 43' yellowcard
  • Maxime Dominguez 58' goal
  • Gabriel Pereira 71' yellowcard
  • Roan Wilson 89' goal
  • Pedro Tiba 90'+6' yellowcard
  • redcard Sikou Niakate 55'
  • yellowcard Abel Ruiz 70'
  • goal Simon Banza 71'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Djalo 76'
  • goal Andre Horta 78'
  • goal Andre Horta 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Ricardo Horta 30' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2022 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
  • goal Iuri Medeiros 67'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2022 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ali Elmusrati 44' yellowcard
  • Fabiano Silva 90' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanya Fujimoto 27'
  • yellowcard Antoine Leautey 60'
  • goal Henrique Gomes 89'
  • yellowcard Ziga Frelih 90'+5'