/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcanlog.png)
-
Justin Ellis
29'
-
Giovanni Reyna
40'
-
Malik Tillman
71'
-
Tani Oluwaseyi
31'
-
Jonathan David
58'
USA vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Canada had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result
USA
41.71%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
27.4%
▲
(+0.69)
Canada
30.9%
▼
(-0.52)
Both Teams to Score:
55.68%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.67%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 1.5
24.33%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 2.5
51.81%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 2.5
48.19%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
31.22%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 3.5
68.78%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 4.5
17.64%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 4.5
82.36%
▲
(+0.41)
First Half Winner
USA
30.04%
▲
(+0.42)
Draw
45.8%
▼
(-0.58)
Canada
24.16%
▲
(+0.17)
Team To Score First
USA
49.52%
▲
(+0.34)
No Goal
7.19%
▲
(+0.52)
Canada
43.29%
▼
(-0.85)
Corners
Over 8
50.15%
▼
(-2.90)
Equal 8
11.11%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 8
38.73%
▲
(+2.93)
Over 9
39.46%
▼
(-2.61)
Equal 9
10.7%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 9
49.85%
▲
(+2.90)
Over 10.5
29.94%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 10.5
70.06%
▲
(+2.19)
USA Goals
Over 1.5
42.55%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
57.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
19.14%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
80.86%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
7.21%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
92.79%
▲
(+0.08)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5
66.82%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 0.5
33.18%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 1.5
33.78%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
66.22%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 2.5
12.57%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
87.43%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
4.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
95.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
USA
41.7%
Draw
27.39%
Canada
30.89%
USA
1-0
@
9.29%
▲
(+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 41.7%
2-1 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 41.7%
Draw
1-1
@
12.4%
▼
(-0.26)
0-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.52)
2-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 27.39%
0-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.52)
2-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 27.39%
Canada
0-1
@
7.83%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 30.89%
1-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 30.89%