International Friendlies
Sep 30, 2026 1.00am
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Sebastian Berhalter 37' goal
  • Julian Hall 51' goal
  • Chris Richards 72' goal
  • Mathis Albert 90'+3' goal
  • Chris Richards 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Villagra 12'
  • goal Diego Ulloa 45'+1'
  • goal Maximiliano Gutiérrez 49'
  • yellowcard Leandro Hernández 90'+8'

USA vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 9.30pm
USA 4 - 1 Peru

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 12.00am
Canada 1 - 0 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.86% and a win for Chile had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%) , while for a Chile win it was 1-2 (4.87%).

Result

USA 62.21%
Draw 20.86%
Chile 16.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.76%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.7%
Under 1.5 18.3%
Over 2.5 60.87%
Under 2.5 39.13%
Over 3.5 38.24%
Under 3.5 61.76%
Over 4.5 25.26%
Under 4.5 74.74%

First Half Winner

USA 50.52%
Draw 36.57%
Chile 12.91%

Team To Score First

USA 71.28%
No Goal 4.95%
Chile 23.77%

Corners

Over 8 62.47%
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 26.7%
Over 9 51.03%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 37.53%
Over 10.5 39.92%
Under 10.5 60.08%

USA Goals

Over 1.5 61.13%
Under 1.5 38.87%
Over 2.5 34.95%
Under 2.5 65.05%
Over 3.5 16.88%
Under 3.5 83.12%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 52.67%
Under 0.5 47.33%
Over 1.5 22.96%
Under 1.5 77.04%
Over 2.5 7.62%
Under 2.5 92.38%
Over 3.5 2.28%
Under 3.5 97.72%

Score analysis

USA 62.22%
Draw 20.86%
Chile 16.96%
USA
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 16.6%
Total : 62.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.33%
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.86%
Chile
1-2 @ 4.87%
0-1 @ 4.02%
0-2 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.7%
1-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.96%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2019 11.55pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT BBVA Compass Stadium (Houston, Texas)
  • Christian Pulisic 4' goal
  • Daniel Lovitz 75' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Opazo 9'
  • yellowcard Esteban Pavez 27'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 85'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 90'