World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Sheriff Sinyan
5'
-
Omar Colley
38'
-
Musa Barrow
55'
-
Yankuba Minteh
61'
-
Musa Barrow
84'
-
Ebrima Jarju
90'+3'
-
67'
-
Mohammed Omar Ali Bajaber
67'
-
Michael Olunga
69'
-
Mohammed Omar Ali Bajaber
75'
-
William Wilson
80'
-
William Wilson
90'+6'
Gambia vs Kenya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result
Gambia
38.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
28.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Kenya
33.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
47.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
59.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
20.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
79.51%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
8.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
91.38%
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5
70.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
29.62%
Over 1.5
34.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
65.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5
66.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
33.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
30.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
69.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Gambia
38.68%
Draw
28.16%
Kenya
33.16%
Gambia
1-0
@
11.94%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 38.68%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 38.68%
Draw
1-1
@
13.19%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.16%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.16%
Kenya
0-1
@
10.84%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.16%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.16%