World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 16, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT New York New Jersey Stadium
  • Kylian Mbappé 66' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 82' goal
  • Kylian Mbappé 90'+6' goal
  • goal Ibrahim Mbaye 90'+5'

France vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Senegal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Senegal win was 1-2 (6.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

France 52.55% (+0.05)
Draw 23.1%
Senegal 24.35% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.73% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 56.55%
Under 2.5 43.45%
Over 3.5 34.25%
Under 3.5 65.75%
Over 4.5 20.46% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.54% (+0.03)

France Goals

Over 1.5 52.33% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.67% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 26.52% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 73.48% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.99% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.01% (+0.05)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 61.04%
Under 0.5 38.96%
Over 1.5 28.66%
Under 1.5 71.34%
Over 2.5 10.03%
Under 2.5 89.97%
Over 3.5 2.88%
Under 3.5 97.12%

Score analysis

France 52.54%
Draw 23.1%
Senegal 24.35%
France
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.81% (-0.04)
Total : 52.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 5.57% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.1%
Senegal
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.35%

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