FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Dean Street

Shildon AFC
2 - 4
Ashington AFC

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Shildon AFC and Ashington AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shildon AFC win with a probability of 58.92%. A win for Ashington AFC had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shildon AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.18%) and 3-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Ashington AFC win was 1-2 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Shildon AFC	Draw	Ashington AFC
58.92% ( -0.51)	19.74% ( 0.2)	21.34% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 65.45% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.3% (

-0.53)

30.7% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.97% (

-0.63)

52.03% (

0.63)

Shildon AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.62% (

-0.29)

10.38% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.11% (

-0.65)

33.89% (

0.65)

Ashington AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.03% (

-0.05)

26.97% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.69% (

-0.07)

62.31% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Shildon AFC 58.92%

Ashington AFC 21.34%

Draw 19.74%

Shildon AFC	Draw	Ashington AFC
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.5% Total : 58.92%	1-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.74%	1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.7% Total : 21.34%