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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Playing Fields

Shepton Mallet
1 - 0
Horndean

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Shepton Mallet and Horndean.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shepton Mallet

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Horndean

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shepton Mallet win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Horndean had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shepton Mallet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Horndean win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shepton Mallet would win this match.

Result
Shepton MalletDrawHorndean
48.62% (-0.216 -0.22)21.59% (0.076999999999998 0.08)29.79% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 67.85% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.58% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)31.42% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.11% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)52.88% (0.352 0.35)
Shepton Mallet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47% (-0.176 -0.18)13.53% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.41% (-0.355 -0.36)40.58% (0.355 0.35)
Horndean Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)21.53% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-0.105 -0.11)54.59% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Shepton Mallet 48.62%
    Horndean 29.79%
    Draw 21.59%
Shepton MalletDrawHorndean
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 48.62%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.91% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.59%
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.79%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Shepton Mallet