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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The World Group Stadium

Penrith
2 - 3
Crook Town AFC

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Penrith and Crook Town AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penrith win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Crook Town AFC had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penrith win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.62%) and 3-2 (5%). The likeliest Crook Town AFC win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
PenrithDrawCrook Town AFC
45.35%20.9%33.75%
Both teams to score 72.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.07%25.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.88%46.12%
Penrith Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48%12.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.48%38.52%
Crook Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16%16.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17%46.82%
Score Analysis
    Penrith 45.35%
    Crook Town AFC 33.75%
    Draw 20.9%
PenrithDrawCrook Town AFC
2-1 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 5%
2-0 @ 4.55%
1-0 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-3 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 45.35%
1-1 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 7.22%
3-3 @ 2.97%
0-0 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 6.95%
2-3 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 4.13%
0-1 @ 3.75%
0-2 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.84%
3-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 33.75%