Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slimbridge win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Malmesbury Victoria had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slimbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Malmesbury Victoria win it was 2-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slimbridge would win this match.