FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Thornhill Park

Malmesbury Victoria
1 - 3
Slimbridge

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Malmesbury Victoria and Slimbridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slimbridge win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Malmesbury Victoria had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slimbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Malmesbury Victoria win it was 2-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slimbridge would win this match.

Result
Malmesbury VictoriaDrawSlimbridge
12.45% (-0.161 -0.16)15.37% (0.153 0.15)72.18% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.06% (-1.291 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.69% (-1.275 -1.28)26.31% (1.275 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.39% (-1.648 -1.65)46.61% (1.648 1.65)
Malmesbury Victoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-1.17 -1.17)33.69% (1.17 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.65% (-1.296 -1.3)70.34% (1.296 1.3)
Slimbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.59% (-0.292 -0.29)6.4% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76% (-0.806 -0.81)24% (0.806 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Malmesbury Victoria 12.45%
    Slimbridge 72.18%
    Draw 15.37%
Malmesbury VictoriaDrawSlimbridge
2-1 @ 3.51% (0.004 0)
1-0 @ 2.35% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 12.45%
1-1 @ 6.45% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.16% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 15.37%
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 8.15% (0.384 0.38)
1-3 @ 8.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 7.46% (0.232 0.23)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.373 0.37)
1-4 @ 5.58% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-4 @ 5.13% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.42% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-5 @ 3.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-4 @ 3.04% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-5 @ 2.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.67% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-6 @ 1.41% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-6 @ 1.29% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.1% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 72.18%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Malmesbury Victoria