FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Lydney Recreation Ground

Lydney Town
5 - 1
Thornbury Town

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Lydney Town and Thornbury Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thornbury Town win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Lydney Town had a probability of 38.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thornbury Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.16%) and 1-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Lydney Town win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Lydney Town	Draw	Thornbury Town
38.91% ( -0.08)	22.16% ( -0.02)	38.93% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 68.74% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.53% (

0.08)

31.47% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.06% (

0.09)

52.94% (

-0.1)

Lydney Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91% (

17.09% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71% (

47.29% (

-0)

Thornbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91% (

0.07)

17.08% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73% (

0.13)

47.27% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Lydney Town 38.91%

Thornbury Town 38.93%

Draw 22.16%

Lydney Town	Draw	Thornbury Town
2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 38.91%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 38.93%