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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nethermoor Park

Guiseley
3 - 0
Ashton United

Longbottom (10'), Lufudu (53'), Johnson (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Guiseley and Ashton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guiseley

All competitions
Last Game: Guiseley 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Ashton United

All competitions
Last Game: Ashton United 2-0 Halifax
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashton United win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ashton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.19%) and 1-3 (4.95%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
GuiseleyDrawAshton United
37.48% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)22.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)40.44% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.89% (0.02300000000001 0.02)31.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.49% (0.025999999999996 0.03)52.51% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92%48.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ashton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.024000000000001 0.02)16.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (0.038999999999994 0.04)45.9% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Guiseley 37.48%
    Ashton United 40.44%
    Draw 22.08%
GuiseleyDrawAshton United
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 37.48%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 4.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.95% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 40.44%