Europa League

Europa League | Round of 32

Feb 18, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
1 - 1
Arsenal

Pizzi (55' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Saka (57')

Reaction

Martin Odegaard in action for Arsenal on February 14, 2021

Arsenal legend Martin Keown admits reservations over Martin Odegaard role

Club legend Martin Keown suggests that he has doubts over whether Martin Odegaard should replace Emile Smith Rowe in the Arsenal starting lineup.

Feb 19, 10:49

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta in the Europa League on February 18, 2021

Mikel Arteta vows to "protect" Bukayo Saka

The England international scored the equaliser as Arsenal drew 1-1 against Benfica in the Europa League.

Feb 18, 23:39

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Arsenal
49.95%	24.7%	25.35%

Both teams to score 53.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.79%

49.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.73%

71.27%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28%

19.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27%

51.73%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13%

33.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46%

70.54%

Score Analysis

Benfica 49.95%

Arsenal 25.35%

Draw 24.69%

Benfica	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.95%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.23% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.35%