Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 5, 2020 at 8pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 1
Molde

Haugen (45+1' og.), Sinyan (62' og.), Pepe (69'), Willock (88')
Luiz (58'), Saka (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ellingsen (22')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on November 5, 2020

Mikel Arteta wants VAR to be introduced into the Europa League

The Gunners boss was unhappy Eddie Nketiah had a goal chalked off against Molde.

Nov 5, 23:49

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Molde had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Molde win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Molde
57.18%	22.55%	20.26%

Both teams to score 53.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52%

45.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19%

67.81%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34%

15.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.3%

44.69%

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51%

36.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.72%

73.28%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 57.18%

Molde 20.26%

Draw 22.55%

Arsenal	Draw	Molde
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.82% 3-1 @ 6.12% 3-0 @ 6.07% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.18%	1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 5.71% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.55%	0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.26%