Nations League Gameweek 5
England
Nov 12, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Croatia
  • Morgan Rogers 24' goal
  • Harry Kane 64' goal
  • goal Petar Sučić 59'
  • yellowcard Ivan Smolcic 63'

England vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Croatia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.15%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.17%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (5.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

England 60.15%
Draw 18.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Croatia 21.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.21% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 12.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 70.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 29.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 49.5% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 50.47% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 34.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 65.43% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

England 47.58%
Draw 35.68%
Croatia 16.74%

Team To Score First

England 67.39% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Croatia 29.67%

Corners

Over 8 59.26%
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 29.85%
Over 9 48.04%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 40.74%
Over 10.5 37.4%
Under 10.5 62.6%

England Goals

Over 1.5 64.29%
Under 1.5 35.71%
Over 2.5 40.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 59.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 20.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 79.51% ▲ (+0.08)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5 57.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 42.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.73%
Under 1.5 69.27%
Over 2.5 13.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.56% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

England 60.14%
Draw 18.33%
Croatia 21.54%
England
2-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 19.98% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 60.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 18.33%
Croatia
1-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 21.54%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Croatia
Oct 3, 2026 5.00pm
0
7
HT : 0 4
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
England
  • Mateo Kovacic 68' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane  8'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 21'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 39'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 45'
  • goal Harry Kane  53'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 68'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 87'
World Cup Gameweek 1
England
Jun 17, 2026 9.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Dallas Stadium
Croatia
  • Harry Kane  12' goal
  • Harry Kane  42' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 47' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 85' goal
  • goal Martin Baturina 36'
  • goal Petar Musa 45'+5'
European Championship
England
Jun 13, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Croatia
  • Raheem Sterling 57' goal
  • Phil Foden 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 42'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 48'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 66'
Nations League
England
Nov 18, 2018 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatia
  • Ross Barkley 26' yellowcard
  • Jesse Lingard 78' goal
  • Harry Kane 85' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 57'
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 67'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 67'
  • yellowcard Dejan Lovren 89'
Nations League
Croatia
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
England
  • Mateo Kovacic 25' yellowcard
  • Dejan Lovren 45' yellowcard
  • Tin Jedvaj 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 6'
  • yellowcard John Stones 52'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 72'
World Cup
Croatia
Jul 11, 2018 7.00pm
2
1
ET Stadion Luzhniki (Moskva)
England
  • Ivan Perisic 68' goal
  • Mario Mandzukic 109' goal
  • goal Kieran Trippier 5'

Form Data

England 3 - 0 Czech Republic
Croatia 0 - 7 England
Czech Republic 0 - 2 England
England 2 - 3 Spain
France 4 - 6 England
England 1 - 2 Argentina
Croatia 1 - 2 Spain
Croatia 0 - 7 England
Spain 4 - 1 Croatia
Czech Republic 1 - 2 Croatia
Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia
Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana

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