Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.
