/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
-
Sondre Langås
69'
-
Dion Sanderson
79'
-
Lewis Travis
81'
-
Joseph Opoku
2'
-
Ji-sung Eom
44'
-
Marko Stamenić
73'
-
Elijah Just
84'
-
Ronald
90'+1'
Derby County vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
40.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
26.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Swansea City
32.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.48%
Goals
Over 1.5
73.37%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
26.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
48.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
51.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
25.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
74.36%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
13.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
86.56%
▼
(-0.01)
First Half Winner
Derby County
30.78%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
45.78%
▲
(+0.10)
Swansea City
23.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Derby County
51.61%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
7.43%
Swansea City
40.96%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
54.28%
▼
(-0.23)
Equal 8
12.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
33.64%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 9
42.3%
▼
(-0.20)
Equal 9
11.98%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 9
45.72%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 10.5
31.43%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 10.5
68.56%
▲
(+0.13)
Derby County Goals
Over 1.5
38.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
61.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
15.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
84.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
4.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
95.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
67.34%
Under 0.5
32.66%
Over 1.5
32.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
67.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
11.54%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
88.46%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
3.31%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
96.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Derby County
40.82%
Draw
26.55%
Swansea City
32.65%
Derby County
1-0
@
10.43%
2-1 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.82%
2-1 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.82%
Draw
1-1
@
12.74%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 5.44%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.55%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 5.44%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.55%
Swansea City
0-1
@
8.79%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12%
Other @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.65%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12%
Other @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.65%
Head to Head
-
Rhian Brewster
47'
-
Patrick Agyemang
67'
-
Bobby Clark
72'
-
Liam Thompson
72'
-
Jaydon Banel
88'
-
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
88'
-
Carlton Morris
90'+5'
-
Leo Walta
65'
-
Gustavo Nunes
65'
-
Melker Widell
77'
-
Malick Yalcouyé
77'
-
Jay Fulton
85'