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Derby County vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 32.61% and a draw has a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (8.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.78%).
Result
Derby County
40.77%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
26.61%
▲
(+0.04)
Swansea City
32.61%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
53.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.28%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
26.72%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
48.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
51.67%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
25.63%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
74.37%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
13.41%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
86.59%
▼
(-0.07)
First Half Winner
Derby County
30.85%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
45.7%
▼
(-0.11)
Swansea City
23.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Team To Score First
Derby County
51.62%
▲
(+0.10)
No Goal
7.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Swansea City
40.94%
▼
(-0.09)
Corners
Over 8
54.46%
▲
(+0.26)
Equal 8
12.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 8
33.45%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 9
42.45%
▲
(+0.21)
Equal 9
12.01%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 9
45.54%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 10.5
31.54%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 10.5
68.46%
▼
(-0.15)
Derby County Goals
Over 1.5
38.82%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
61.18%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 2.5
15.15%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
84.85%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
4.59%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
95.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
67.31%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
32.69%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
32.67%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
67.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
11.5%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
88.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
3.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
96.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Derby County
40.77%
Draw
26.61%
Swansea City
32.6%
Derby County
1-0
@
10.46%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 40.77%
2-1 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 40.77%
Draw
1-1
@
12.78%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.61%
0-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.61%
Swansea City
0-1
@
8.8%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 32.6%
1-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 32.6%
Head to Head
-
Rhian Brewster
47'
-
Patrick Agyemang
67'
-
Bobby Clark
72'
-
Liam Thompson
72'
-
Jaydon Banel
88'
-
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
88'
-
Carlton Morris
90'+5'
-
Leo Walta
65'
-
Gustavo Nunes
65'
-
Melker Widell
77'
-
Malick Yalcouyé
77'
-
Jay Fulton
85'