Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 20, 2026 8.00pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 2 Man City

AEK Athens

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
AEK Athens 1 - 0 LASK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for AEK Athens has a probability of 24.25% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest AEK Athens win is 0-1 (6.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).

Result

Manchester City 51.93%
Draw 23.78%
AEK Athens 24.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 52.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.28%
Under 3.5 69.72%
Over 4.5 18.33%
Under 4.5 81.67%

First Half Winner

Manchester City 37.5%
Draw 36.12%
AEK Athens 26.38%

Team To Score First

Manchester City 51.01% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.03% ▲ (+0.04)
AEK Athens 41.96% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.24%
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 29.06%
Over 9 49.13%
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 39.76%
Over 10.5 38.5%
Under 10.5 61.5%

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 48.97%
Under 1.5 51.03%
Over 2.5 24.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.63%
Under 3.5 90.37%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 57.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 27.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.19%
Under 3.5 96.81%

Score analysis

Manchester City 51.93%
Draw 23.79%
AEK Athens 24.26%
Manchester City
1-0 @ 11.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59%
3-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 9.42%
Total : 51.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.79%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 24.26%