Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2026 8.00pm
Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 22.38% and a draw has a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.98%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-2 (5.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.89%).

Result

Bayern Munich 55.49% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 22.13% ▲ (+0.77)
Arsenal 22.38% ▼ (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.49% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.03% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 1.5 14.97% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 2.5 65.39% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 2.5 34.57% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 3.5 42.58% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 3.5 57.42% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 4.5 29.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 70.93% ▲ (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 43.3% ▼ (-1.18)
Draw 34.24% ▲ (+1.15)
Arsenal 22.46% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 62.02% ▼ (-0.52)
No Goal 4.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Arsenal 33.54% ▲ (+0.45)

Corners

Over 8 63.23% ▲ (+3.09)
Equal 8 9.28% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 8 27.5% ▼ (-3.24)
Over 9 53.33% ▲ (+2.77)
Equal 9 9.89% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 9 36.77% ▼ (-3.09)
Over 10.5 43.52% ▲ (+2.34)
Under 10.5 56.48% ▼ (-2.34)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 58.85% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 41.15% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 35.21% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 64.79% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 17.99% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 3.5 82.01% ▼ (-1.43)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 57.92% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 0.5 42.08% ▲ (+1.16)
Over 1.5 29.54% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 1.5 70.46% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 11.87% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 88.13% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 4.15% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 95.85% ▲ (+0.42)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 55.49%
Draw 22.13%
Arsenal 22.38%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.68)
3-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.79)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.73)
Other @ 17.71% ▲ (+1.45)
Total : 55.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.37)
2-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.30)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.13%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.55)
0-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.47)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.52)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.74)
Other @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.40)
Total : 22.38%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 26, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jurrien Maduro 22' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 69' goal
  • William Saliba 74' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 77' goal
  • Mikel Merino 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 23'
  • goal Lennart Karl 32'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 43'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 43'
  • yellowcard Mikel Arteta 59'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 59'
Champions League
Apr 17, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Konrad Laimer 54' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kimmich 63' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 84'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 90'+3'
Champions League
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Bukayo Saka 12' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 76' goal
  • Thomas Partey 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 9'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 18'
  • goal Harry Kane 32'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 55'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 18, 2019 4.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Louis Poznanski 49' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 88' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 71'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 19, 2017 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Shanghai Stadium
  • Robert Lewandowski 9' goal
  • Javi Martinez 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francis Coquelin 20'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Elneny 59'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 84'
  • goal Alex Iwobi 93'
Champions League
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Theo Walcott 20' goal
  • Theo Walcott 39' yellowcard
  • Laurent Koscielny 54' redcard
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 61' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Alaba 39'
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 45'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 55'
  • goal Arjen Robben 68'
  • goal Douglas Costa 78'
  • goal Arturo Vidal 80'
  • goal Arturo Vidal 85'