CAF Champions League | Second Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Botswana National Stadium

Galaxy
0 - 2
Orlando Pirates


Mpolokang (39'), Bante (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mabaso (45+3'), Hotto (78')
Mabaso (45'), Chaine (71'), Sibisi (90+5')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Second Preliminary Round clash between Galaxy and Orlando Pirates.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galaxy

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Last Game: Galaxy 1-0 African Stars (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in CAF Champions League
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Orlando Pirates

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Last Game: Orlando Pirates 4-0 CNaPS Sport
Friday, August 23 at 6.30pm in CAF Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando Pirates win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Galaxy had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando Pirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Galaxy win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando Pirates would win this match.

Result
GalaxyDrawOrlando Pirates
22.22% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)28.31% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)49.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.32% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.59% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)83.41% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.68% (-0.012 -0.01)45.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)81.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Orlando Pirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.39% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)61.55% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Galaxy 22.23%
    Orlando Pirates 49.46%
    Draw 28.3%
GalaxyDrawOrlando Pirates
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.75%
3-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.23%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.95%
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 15.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 49.46%