World Cup Gameweek 1
Brazil
Jun 13, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT New York New Jersey Stadium
Morocco
  • Vinicius Junior 32' goal
  • Casemiro 37' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 38' yellowcard
  • Roger Ibañez 43' yellowcard
  • Roger Ibañez 44' yellowcard
  • goal Ismael Saibari 21'

Brazil vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Morocco

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (9.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Brazil 41.7% ▼ (-0.55)
Draw 26.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Morocco 31.5% ▲ (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.65% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.7% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 29.3% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 45% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 55% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 23.65% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 76.35% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 12.3% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.7% ▲ (+0.11)

Brazil Goals

Over 1.5 37.83% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 1.5 62.17% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 2.5 15.08% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 84.92% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 4.82% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.18% ▲ (+0.13)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 64.33% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 0.5 35.67% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 29.78% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 70.22% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 10.26% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 89.74% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 2.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 97.17% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Brazil 41.7%
Draw 26.74%
Morocco 31.49%
Brazil
1-0 @ 11.33% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 41.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.74%
Morocco
0-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 31.49%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Morocco
Mar 25, 2023 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Mohamed V
Brazil
  • Sofiane Boufal 29' goal
  • Abdelhamid Sabiri 79' goal
  • goal Casemiro 67'

Form Data

Brazil 2 - 1 Egypt
Brazil 6 - 2 Panama
Brazil 3 - 1 Croatia
Brazil 1 - 2 France
Brazil 1 - 1 Tunisia
Brazil 2 - 0 Senegal
Morocco 1 - 1 Norway
Morocco 4 - 0 Madagascar
Morocco 0 - 0 Burundi
Morocco 2 - 1 Paraguay
Morocco 1 - 1 Ecuador
Senegal 0 - 3 Morocco

Build-up

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