Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 26, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Internacional 1 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Christian

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 11.30pm
Botafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw has a probability of 24.38% and a win for Botafogo has a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.78%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Botafogo win it is 0-1 (6.06%).

Result

Cruzeiro 54.01% (-0.09)
Draw 24.38% (+0.03)
Botafogo 21.61% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.41% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.82% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 24.18% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 51.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.97% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 71.03% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 16.86% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.14% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 40.9% (-0.04)
Draw 40.73% (-0.04)
Botafogo 18.36% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 61.38% (-0.09)
No Goal 6.77% (-0.02)
Botafogo 31.85% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 61.27% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 27.72% (-0.18)
Over 9 49.74% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.73% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 38.66% (+0.14)
Under 10.5 61.34% (-0.14)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 50.33% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.67% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.71% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.29% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.71% (-0.04)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 58.33% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 41.67% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 24.65% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 75.35% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.76% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.24% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.96% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.04% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 54%
Draw 24.38%
Botafogo 21.61%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 10.78% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.29%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.2% (+0.03)
Total : 54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 24.38%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 6.06% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.87% (+0.03)
Total : 21.61%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Jan 30, 2026 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Danilo 48' goal
  • Artur 63' yellowcard
  • Matheus Martins 63' yellowcard
  • Matheus Martins 76' goal
  • Nathan Ribeiro 81' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 81' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fernandes 81' yellowcard
  • Marçal 81' yellowcard
  • Danilo 85' goal
  • Jordán Andrés Barrera Herrera 88' yellowcard
  • Jordan Barrera 88' yellowcard
  • Artur 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Keny Alexander Arroyo Alvarado 56'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 56'
  • yellowcard Christian 65'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 77'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 78'
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji Takamura Correa 78'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 78'
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji 78'
  • yellowcard João Marcelo 78'
Brasileiro
Dec 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian 15' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 50' goal
  • Lucas Silva 54' yellowcard
  • Cassio Ramos 67' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando Marcal 57'
  • yellowcard Jordán Andrés Barrera Herrera 65'
  • yellowcard Allan 70'
  • yellowcard Allan 72'
  • goal Alex Telles 90'+5'
  • redcard David Loiola 90'+12'
  • redcard David Loiola 90'+13'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 3, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Fernando Marcal 4' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 4' yellowcard
  • Allan 74' yellowcard
  • Allan 74' yellowcard
  • goal William 13'
  • goal Lucas Halter 14'
  • yellowcard William 31'
  • yellowcard William 31'
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 37'
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 37'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Cassio Ramos 72'
  • yellowcard Cassio Ramos 72'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 77'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 77'
  • yellowcard Marlon 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Marlon 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 9.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Lucas Silva 20' goal
  • Arthur 31' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 36' yellowcard
  • Rafael Silva 64' goal
  • Rafael Silva 66' yellowcard
  • Rafael Elias 90'+1' goal
  • Rafael Elias 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Tiquinho 5'
  • yellowcard Gregore 27'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 36'
  • redcard Alexander Barboza 72'
  • goal Barbosa da Silva 83'
  • yellowcard Barbosa da Silva 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Barbosa da Silva 32' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Adryelson 47' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Helibelton Palacios 21'
  • yellowcard Neris 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Luciano Castan 90'+5'