Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 9.00pm
Defensor 1 - 1 Union

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 66.86%. A draw has a probability of 21.27% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 0-1 (5.31%).

Result

Cruzeiro 66.86% (-0.05)
Draw 21.27% (+0.04)
Defensor Sporting 11.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.29% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.71% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.34% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.66% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.12% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.88% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 47.1%
Draw 40.64%
Defensor Sporting 12.25% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 69.3% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.9% (+0.03)
Defensor Sporting 22.8% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 69.94% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.42%
Under 8 19.64% (+0.02)
Over 9 58.07% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 30.06% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 45.86% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 54.14% (+0.03)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 54.96% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.04% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.66% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.34% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.62% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 89.38% (+0.04)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 44.61% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 55.39% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 11.95%
Under 1.5 88.05%
Over 2.5 1.63% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 98.37% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.33%
Under 3.5 99.67%

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 66.87%
Draw 21.28%
Defensor Sporting 11.86%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 15.35% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 13.9%
2-1 @ 11.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 10.61% (-0.05)
Total : 66.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.28%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 11.86%