Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 66.86%. A draw has a probability of 21.27% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 0-1 (5.31%).