Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.46% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.