EFL Cup
Bournemouth
Oct 28, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Amine Adli 7' goal
  • Juanlu Sánchez 16' yellowcard
  • Ben Gannon-Doak 25' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cook 51' goal
  • Lewis Cook 67' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Rodríguez 69' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Buendía 12'
  • yellowcard Brian Madjo 33'
  • yellowcard João Gomes 54'

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 36.67% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.39%).

Result

Bournemouth 39.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 24.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Aston Villa 36.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 59.35%
Under 2.5 40.65%
Over 3.5 37.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 62.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 23.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.45% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 31.78%
Draw 41.63%
Aston Villa 26.6%

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 49.44%
No Goal 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Aston Villa 45.5% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.8%
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 33.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 43.56%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 45.2%
Over 10.5 33.26%
Under 10.5 66.74%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 43.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 20.57%
Under 2.5 79.43%
Over 3.5 8.5%
Under 3.5 91.5%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 70.89%
Under 0.5 29.11%
Over 1.5 41.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 39.3%
Draw 24.04%
Aston Villa 36.67%
Bournemouth
2-1 @ 8.04%
1-0 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 3.06%
Other @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 39.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.04%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-1 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.7%
Total : 36.67%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 25
Bournemouth
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Rayan 55' goal
  • Ryan Christie 65' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 86' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 87' yellowcard
  • Enes Ünal 90' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Rogers 22'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 66'
  • yellowcard Ross Barkley 77'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 77'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 86'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 86'
Premier League
Aston Villa
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bournemouth
Premier League Gameweek 36
Bournemouth
May 10, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Alex Scott 27' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Illia Zabarnyi 78' yellowcard
  • Dean Huijsen 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Asensio 28'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 45'+5'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 45'+6'
  • redcard Jacob Ramsey 80'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Aston Villa
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Bournemouth
  • Amadou Onana 4' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 18' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 41' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 58' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 76' goal
  • Matty Cash 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 10'
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 21'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 40'
  • yellowcard Enes Unal 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 80'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 90'
  • goal Evanilson 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Aston Villa
Apr 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Bournemouth
  • Morgan Rogers 45'+1' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 57' goal
  • Leon Bailey 78' goal
  • Matty Cash 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 21'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 31'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 37'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 55'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Bournemouth
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Antoine Semenyo 10' goal
  • Justin Kluivert 12' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 17' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 52' goal
  • Ryan Christie 54' yellowcard
  • Milos Kerkez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Leon Bailey 20'
  • yellowcard Pau Torres 29'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 43'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 84'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 90'

Form Data

Man Utd 0 - 3 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 3 - 0 AC Milan
Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland
Bournemouth 3 - 0 Sturm Graz
Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man City
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Viking FK
Newcastle 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 6 - 0 Fenerbahce
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford
Spurs 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Build-up

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